Italo Bocchino
It 'true that we are facing the most difficult crisis in relations between Berlusconi and Fini from since 1993. Their alliance has been going on for over 16 years, to confront the impossibility of living together in the same party. Perhaps the origin impossibility of this, there was what in law is called double mental reservation. This happens when contractors enter into an agreement with both other purposes not revealed, which in this case that are more legitimate and responsive to the logic of politics. Berlusconi thought of the PDL as a media response to the breakdown of Pd with the left and underneath maximalist thought that this would absorb An Fini and sterilized for reasons of consensus generation and still has a future as the Speaker of the House had seen united party in the most appropriate instrument to support a future leadership wider.
evidence shows that it is not then the ratio of two, without which the PDL has exploded. Now we are in a difficult situation from which you have to leave anyway, one way or another, bearing in mind that as Fini said the two did not have a duty to be friends or to seem, above all because the policy requires an agreement for the governance of the country.
Pinuccio Tatarella used in these situations say "mbruoglio help me considering that when the worst of the tangled situation to create conditions for a lift. We must start from this teaching Tatarella to understand how the confusion today will help the center to resolve a very complex crisis. The decision to oust Berlusconi Fini so illiberal and do comment to the press close to him in a violent way has in fact belittled the final draft of the PDL, making it become "the party boundary" theorized by Victor Felts, and then without long perspective. This helps in some ways Fini and should push the area to force its membership in the coalition, creating a suitable container and moderate center-right electorate who may hold the view that the PDL is now precluded by the decision to customize around the leadership of Berlusconi .
The President of the Council, for its part, got what he wanted, namely the transformation of the PDL in what was Forza Italy, a monarchy, anarchy where everyone can do what they want except to question the leader, where everyone thinks the same leader and for all without anyone having to do anything but be an ambassador of his words.
These new resolve to some extent the dual mental reservation and open a new scenario, but that depends on how you compare the two leaders. Of course, reading the newspaper the family is not to be optimistic, even if the pragmatic business of Berlusconi is known. Now that the numbers do not make avoidable Fini, confusion could arise a new deal that raises the majority of the legislature and government. Berlusconi has the advantage of reaching the milestone of the government that has lasted five years, for demonstration purposes did not want to smash, but it wants to build the better. This choice would be an advantage for the country, contains the Lega pressures that undermine national cohesion, foster economic choices are more attentive to the south and social policies, would reduce the clash with the judiciary.
For Fini and Berlusconi it would move the comparison from the PDL, where he had come to fight, the majority with a clear parliamentary centrality, where Speaker of the House has more cards to play.
The only way to save the route opened in 2008 and then the deal is for two, along the lines of what Fini had suggested in the PDL with the interview with Giuliano Ferrara. Reset to improve and strengthen, to polish the government policy, while respecting the re-launch the reforms program.
course to do this must stop the guns boomed, from either side, the new parliamentary groups should lead the discussion within the majority asking for the special summit to share what to do and avoiding problems in the parliament, where all must commit to support the program, though, as he himself said Fini, the Future and freedom for Italy "will not hesitate to fight compared to the general rules deemed inappropriate.
Without Pact term scenarios would be more complicated. The weapon immediate vote is checked and risky, the way of alternative government is impervious and does not respect the popular will. Berlusconi should think twice before making the next move, especially after the failure of the accounts have been wrong on the consistency of the troops of the President of the Chamber. He repeated the mistake when he theorizes that Fini would be forced to do a little dense and small parties allied to influential or anything that would end up alone. As a colleague said Pasquale Viespoli the "Morning" "certainly not cultivate solitude." The prospect of an An can not be half the horizon Fini, as the race can not be lonely, especially since polls show clearly that the Speaker of the House weighs election that makes it still central.
is why only a deal can save the current term of bipolar structure, the government and the majority.
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