Italo Bocchino
Silvio Berlusconi has asked his troops to prepare for the elections, while giving life to "clubs of freedom." Apart from the name of the new Berlusconi sellers of the verb, which is an oxymoron and that squads draws policy that does not fit with our historical epoch and a moderate party, it is clear that the use of polls is a blunt instrument.
Today the action really only want him to vote Bossi and Tremonti, the first to take the votes of Berlusconi and the second to take his place at Palazzo Chigi. She did not want the country do not like the Quirinale, the opposition does not want, does not want and do not want those Fini sixty - seventy parliamentarians of the PDL, which should leave room for the Lega Nord, "The Future and Freedom" the south and center regions where no Speaker of the House can not win the majority of the premium. And underneath the vote did not even want Berlusconi, now aware that it only has to lose.
If you really go for early elections the only two certainties would be the transfer of votes from the PDL League and a majority in the Senate other than the Chamber. In a scenario Bossi would like easy game to call a step back to Knight, who retired from what would be considered the closest ally, thus paving the way for a government Tremonti for the economy and the reforms that would have propelled the Northern League and would overwhelming vote of a majority that would be formed with the aim of sending real home for good Berlusconi. This is the trap that is clicking and it is very difficult for Berlusconi to escape, having broken with the moderates Fini and Casini, and having entrusted the government's golden share in Bossi and Tremonti.
If the picture is that the troops of the Future and Freedom "paradoxically become the shield of the knight than the trap, but the chairman of the board must decide what attitude to have Fini and Finian. Counts on the numbers he soundly lost, the transfer market is unrealistic and unnecessary attempts at division. As it is dangerous to think you can negotiate with Finian without talking to Fini. At this point you should clarify what is the strategy of the men of the Speaker of the House, which must be considered one with their leader.
The first commandment of the Future and Freedom "is the desire not to plunge into Italy a vote that would damage the country and entrusted the government of the Bossi-Tremonti axis. The second commandment guarantees our political anchor and the cultural center which made it impossible in this two-party system to evaluate various alliances and non-homogeneous politically and culturally. Our third commandment states that ensure confidence in the government until the last day of the parliamentary vote and that all provisions contained in the program because they see us tied with voters. Finally, said that while alerting Berlusconi against the risks that we will not generate runs counter to the league, which only makes his job of electoral competitors of the PDL, or Tremonti, the economy minister who does well even if it represents a political mistake for the "People of Freedom."
At this point the match for Berlusconi gets really difficult. If everything goes to the polls and could very likely, if you are still threatening reactions that can not risk wearing out the national and international levels. The only way that is appealing to the Parliament as suggested Casini to launch a new government with a high profile and reformer, and a larger majority, building a new coalition that includes the party of Fini, Casini and Williams and the moderates of the Democratic Party been disappointed. We understand that this route for Berlusconi is almost impossible to take because it would replace the business logic of the monarchy with the republican democracy, share choices with logical policies and create an executive committee made up of ministers who would give political Another aspect that the government is now simply a "government of the President." We know that this hypothesis makes his skin crawl, but it is the only one who has to survive the crisis that has been open only imploding.
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